How does the increased potential of biomethane capacity in Europe impact the biomethane certificate market?

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Following the recently released Gas for Climate (GfC)’s estimate of European biomethane potential by 2030 and 2050 (see Greenfact’s article), the possible increase in biomethane supply will generally affect the biomethane certificate/GO market, in terms of the liquidity and price of biomethane certificates.

 Biomethane certificate price is driven by many factors, for example, feedstock used for production, subsidies for production, end-use applications, and consumer preferences. In this article, we analyse the potential impact on the biomethane certificate price based on a reflection from the GfC’s recent report on biomethane production potentials in the EU. Two key factors potentially...